Woolworths Group Ltd
ASX: WOW · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores
- Market cap
- A$48.1B
- P/E (trailing)
- 50.2
- EPS (FY25)
- $0.78
- Dividend / share
- $1.35
- 52-week range
- –
- Intrinsic value
- A$10.94
Share price
ASX: WOW · AUD
Valuation
Full valuation analysis →Fair-value estimate per share, updated 26 Jul 2026
A$10.94 The median of our 3 model estimates
Well above fair value Trading at 3.6× the estimate. The market is pricing growth or risk that historical figures don't capture.
- Discounted cash flow
- A$10.82
- EPS growth model
- A$10.94
- P/E multiple
- A$21.01
Revenue
As reported · financial years
Earnings per share
Diluted · as reported
Profit margins
Gross, operating and net margin by financial year
Poor Net margin of 1.4% in FY25: barely profitable at the bottom line.
Shares outstanding
Diluted · falling means buybacks, rising means dilution
Stable +0.7% year-on-year, -0.3% a year over 10 years: share count has been stable over the long run.
Working-capital days
Days of revenue sitting in receivables (DSO) and days of cost sitting in inventory (DIO)
Slowing collections DSO of 6 days vs a 5-day norm: customers are taking longer to pay than the historical norm.
Financial health
Latest financial year (FY25)
- Return on equity
- 19.8%
- Good
- Current ratio
- 0.57
- Tight
- Debt to equity
- 3.58
- Elevated
- Interest coverage
- -1.2×
- Loss year
Verdicts are graded against what's normal for the sector (Consumer Defensive), not a one-size-fits-all bar. Hover a tile for the reasoning.
Dividends per share
Full dividend history →Per financial year, as reported in the accounts
Cash-covered payout 173% of FY25 earnings paid out: the dividend exceeds accounting earnings but is covered by free cash flow, since non-cash charges hold reported profit below the cash the business generates.
Free cash flow
Cash from operations minus capital spending: what the DCF model projects from
Excellent 210% of FY25 net profit became free cash: free cash flow exceeds reported profit.
Net debt
Borrowings and leases minus cash: the line shows how many years of operating profit (EBIT) would clear it
Loss year Net debt of $16.1B in FY25: operating profit was negative, so a repayment-years ratio isn't meaningful this year.
Five-year snapshot
Figures as reported in the company's filings
| Metric | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $55.7B | $60.8B | $64.3B | $67.9B | $69.1B |
| Net profit | $2.1B | $1.5B | $1.6B | $108.0M | $963.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.64 | $1.26 | $1.32 | $0.09 | $0.78 |
| Dividend / share | $0.87 | $1.17 | $0.84 | $0.97 | $1.35 |
| Net margin | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 1.4% |
What does Woolworths Group (WOW) do?
Woolworths Group runs a group of retail businesses under the Consumer Defensive sector, classified in the Grocery Stores industry. Its main arm buys and sells groceries and everyday household goods to shoppers across Australia through 1,087 outlets carrying the Woolworths and Metro Food banners, while a separate arm supplies groceries and logistics support to other businesses on a wholesale basis rather than selling directly to the public.
Outside Australia, the company reaches New Zealand shoppers through 190 Countdown grocery stores, and it operates 176 BIG W stores selling lower-priced general merchandise such as clothing, homewares and other non-food items. The group traces its roots to 1924, has traded on the ASX since 1993, and switched its legal name from Woolworths Limited to Woolworths Group Limited in December 2017. It is based in Bella Vista, Australia, led by chief executive Amanda Bardwell, and reports a full-time workforce of 201,413.
Common questions about WOW
Is WOW undervalued right now? +–
The median of our 3 model estimates puts Woolworths Group Ltd's fair value at A$10.94 per share against a price of A$39.18, 258.1% above the estimate as at 26 Jul 2026. Model estimates are a starting point, not advice. See the full valuation breakdown.
Does WOW pay a dividend? +–
Woolworths Group Ltd paid $1.35 per share in its most recent financial year with a recorded dividend. The dividend history chart above shows the full payout record.
How fast is WOW growing? +–
Revenue has compounded at 5.4% a year over the last five financial years, and 1.6% a year over ten.
What is WOW's P/E ratio? +–
Woolworths Group Ltd trades on a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of 50.2, based on diluted earnings of $0.78 per share in FY25.
Compare WOW with peers
How has Woolworths (WOW) performed financially and where do valuation models place its fair value?
Woolworths Group's reported revenue climbed from $58.3B in FY2016 to $69.1B in FY2025, a decade-long uptrend interrupted by a net loss of $1.2B (diluted EPS of -$0.98) in FY2016. Earnings recovered through FY2017 ($1.5B) and peaked at $2.7B in FY2019 (EPS $2.05), before easing to $2.1B in FY2021 and $1.5B-$1.6B across FY2022-FY2023. Net income then fell sharply to just $108M in FY2024 (EPS $0.09) before rebounding to $963M in FY2025 (EPS $0.78).
Gross profit margin has stayed in a fairly narrow band, ranging from about 26.7% to 29.7% of revenue across the years where it was reported. Operating profitability has been less steady: operating income reached $2.8B in FY2023 before dropping to $1.3B in FY2024 and turning negative at -$1.0B in FY2025, even as net income improved that year, reflecting how operating and net income trends have diverged in the most recent reported period.
Against a share price of $39.78 as of July 3, 2026, the valuation models place fair value well below the market price: the DCF model estimates $10.82 per share, the EPS growth valuation model $10.88, and the PE ratio valuation model $20.9. The current PE ratio of 51.0 also sits well above the company's own five-year median PE of 26.79. These are model-based estimates rather than certainties, and the gap between them and the current price is wide across every method shown.
AI-assisted analysis generated from Craytheon's verified financial data · Updated 4 Jul 2026 · How this works
Data is general information only, not financial advice. Figures are as reported in company filings (some ASX companies report in USD); share prices are AUD.